24.05.16 19:55 translated from the archives of kavkazplus Recently, the EADaily Internet resource, known for its pro-Armenian orientation, published an article by the Abkhaz political scientist Anton Krivenyuk under the eloquent title: Abkhazia on the threshold of dangerous events. A detailed analysis of this article directly confirms the concerns of the Kavkazplus website for the fate of the Abkhaz ethnos, which is threatened by direct genocide by Armenian extremists, who take advantage of the fact that Armenians have De Facto become the largest ethnic group in Abkhazia, although strengthen and strengthen this status, and at the same time according to the Karabakh scenario, create a mono-ethnic Armenian region from Abkhazia. It is clear that interethnic contradictions in modern Abkhazia are taboo. Being dependent on the separatist regime, Anton Krivenyuk does not write about them, and cannot write. But he very faithfully gives a characterization of the rotten and degraded separatist government, which is no longer able to control the Abkhaz territory and, all the more, will not be able to protect the Abkhaz ethnic group from destruction if the Armenians decide once and for all to end the Abkhaz issue and the Abkhazians themselves. In his article, Anton Krivenyuk states the crisis of legitimacy of power in present-day Abkhazia. He writes: All three systems created by the three former presidents of the country (meaning separatist Abkhazia) have one fundamental principle in common. They were created by people who were the successors of the Soviet state. People who grew up and were held as Soviet functionaries. They knew even if they were no longer existing, even if they were totalitarian and did not fit in any way with the socio-cultural context of Abkhazia, but with some sort of state-building system. They transferred this experience with more or less success to this soil. Therefore, the government, at least, as such, was at least a leading player in the country. Here Anton Krivenyuk could be added. Abkhaz separatism arose precisely as Soviet. Soviet Abkhaz functionaries who held senior positions in Abkhazia only because they belonged to the party range and were representatives of the titular Abkhaz nation understood that in the new democratic Georgia in Abkhazia, they would even have to share power. And both with representatives of another non-Soviet management structure and representatives of other ethnic groups. But in a democratic society (unless, of course, apartheid in South Africa) is an ethnic group, it can’t be an ethnic group that takes up 17% of the population to occupy 99% of all leadership positions. Therefore, Abkhaz separatism was a purely Soviet range. It would hardly have been accompanied by ethnic cleansing – if it were not for the Armenians, who had become skilled in this matter, who understood that while maintaining the Georgian majority even in separatist Abkhazia with the Soviet range at the head, they would be difficult to dominate. As a result, the Armenians achieved the fact that ethnic cleansing was carried out (moreover, it was the Armenians who initiated the expulsion of the Georgian civilian population) and after that, in essence, subjugated to themselves the ossified and clan corruption nomenclature of the Soviet formation, which without Armenians simply did not able to navigate neither modern economic nor geopolitical relations. However, as time went on, the inferiority of the Abkhazian post-Soviet government became more and more obvious. Anton Krivenbuk writes about this: The difference with the current one, it is difficult to even call it a system, rather an anti-system in that it is the first, purely Abkhaz, no longer a Soviet model of the organization of life. And this model looks strange. First, this, already now, the real Abkhaz, non-post-Soviet power, is not respected by everyone, and many are ignored. Secondly, it is not a system of government, it is a kind of semi-finished product, from which something may come out someday. But so far this embryo of the new system does not have so many important functions, for example, it is not the main one, but one of the main, so to say, players in Abkhaz policy. The system periodically reminds participants of the processes that it is the main player, but it is rather of a recommendatory character. Thus, Anton Kryvenyuk ascertains the poverty of the Abkhaz pseudo-state system created by Soviet and post-Soviet functionaries and frozen in its inertness, cronyism and corruption. However, along with this pathetic parody of the state administration system, there is a system of Armenian nationalist organizations and Armenian business clans. It more than meets the requirements of time and is adapted for them. There, decisions are taken quickly and efficiently, and most importantly, all the officials of the Abkhaz under-state under-system are either bought by Armenians, or are completely dependent on them. At the same time, Armenians are interested in degrading the system of the so-called state administration in Abkhazia. So it happens The endless struggle, the endlessly growing number of groups of influence, simply will not allow the state to rise. We see all the signs of this process. The most visible of them is the growing popularity of half-power pressure actions, not just rally campaigns, but campaigns with a noticeable power component. And this is a process that spreads far wider than a purely political field. And the process in which all new forces are involved. Abkhazia is indeed on the verge of dangerous events. The flywheel of political turbulence is always unwinding towards violence. The political field resembles the space where gasoline was spilled. And now any match can kindle a flame. It can happen tomorrow in Athos, it can happen later, during the elections – it’s bad that there is simply no positive scenario. – Anton Krivenyuk states. Here we come to what Kavkaplus had already wrote about – the threat to that against the background of the disturbing unrest in Abkhazia (which is almost inevitable), well-organized ethnic cleansing by Armenian nationalists of the Abkhaz population will begin. It is simply unwise for the Abkhaz to underestimate the dangers of such a scenario. After all, as it is known, Armenians have long considered Abkhazia theirs, they openly laugh at the Abkhazian pseudo-state system and cannot understand why they should share less and less decisive Abkhazian officials if there is every opportunity to completely take the land that they liked into their hands, and throw the Abkhazians out of here as an already unnecessary ethnic element, or simply to destroy the Abkhaz ethnos, which, in principle, is many times smaller than the number of Azerbaijans expelled from Armenians Karabakh (really no more than 55-65 thousand people) There is another difference between Armenians in Georgia and Armenians in Abkhazia. In Georgia, especially in the capital – Tbilisi, the mass of crypto-Armenians, i.e. Armenians who pretend to be Georgians. Aware of their Armenian origin, many of them, however, are trying to pretend to be outwardly more Georgians than Georgians themselves. On the one hand, this dramatically enhances the influence of the Armenian lobby in Georgia, but on the other hand it is, albeit weak, but part of the protection of the Georgian population from the Armenian genocide in Tbilisi in the case of Armenian occupation. For the simple reason that it is unlikely that Armenians will immediately go for it, so that together with the Georgians they will not destroy their own people (in Samtskhe-Javakheti such protection is unlikely to work). On the contrary, in Abkhazia, the Armenians did not mimic either for Georgians or Abkhazians. Therefore, they began with a clear conscience to kill Georgians in Abkhazia in 1992-1993. – not worrying about the fact that an Armenian who pretends to be a Georgian will fall under the heavy hand of them. Almost a quarter of a century has passed since then, but the processes of assimilating Armenians with Abkhazians or arranging Armenians for Abkhazians are not observed and closely. And this means that at the moment X Abkhazians can also become victims of Armenian atrocities and genocide as Abkhaz Georgians became in 1992-1993, because Abkhaz are convinced that there are no hidden Armenians among the Abkhaz population (mixed Armenian-Abkhaz families are a rarity and they all know one another). The most interesting thing is that the signal to the beginning of ethnic cleansing by Armenians and the genocide of the Abkhaz people may well be intra-Abkhaz disassembly, the inevitability of which in its article is proved by the same Anton Krivenyuk. There is nothing unusual about it. Recall that the genocide and the expulsion of the Georgian population from Abkhazia largely began with internal Georgian clashes – the opposition of supporters of ousted President Zviad Gamsakhurdia (of whom there were many supporters of Abkhazians in Georgia) and the Georgian State Council that overthrew him. Later, at a certain stage, Russia, Abkhaz separatists and Armenian militants joined in. Moreover, they turned on so that almost the entire Georgian population (both supporters of Gamsakhurdia and his opponents) were expelled from Abkhazia. In the same way and now turmoil in Abkhazia can quite begin with the intra Abkhazian conflict (occasions for which weight) but, eventually, everything can develop into genocide of Abkhazians by the Armenian nationalists between whom, by the way, any conflict the amazing unanimity on one and all questions does not exist and is observed. KavkazPlus
